Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
AMD NASDAQAdvanced Micro Devices looks about 78% overvalued against its cash-flow value. Its growth outlook scores strong; the balance sheet is solid.
At a glance
tap a tile to dig inOtto's verdict
the tiles above, in a line each- Value Looks ~78% overvalued against Otto's cash-flow estimate.
- Health 10 of 11 health checks pass.
- Growth Revenue trend ≈ +15%/yr (extended trend, not a forecast).
- Street Analysts lean strong buy · avg target +26% from here.
- Dividend No dividend — this is a growth-only story.
- Insiders Insiders, last 12 months: 0 buys · 4 sells.
Not investment advice — Otto just crunches numbers.
Price trend
+189.1% over one year · S&P 500 +20.5%
What think
The market's move: +189.1% over the past year
Trading 78% up its 52-week range. Price is the market's live vote — not advice.
Analyst consensus: Strong Buy · 46 analysts
Average 12-month target ₹58,702.27 — +25.9% vs today.
Yahoo Finance's analyst aggregate. Sentiment, not advice.
Insiders: 0 buys · 4 sales in recent filings
Open-market trades from SEC Form 4. Sales are often pre-planned (10b5-1); buys tend to say more. Sentiment, not advice.
InvestRight readers: 0 watching
This site's own activity — not a broad measure. Sentiment, not advice.
The snowflake
checks passed on each axis- Value 0/— checks
- Future 3/3 checks
- Past 2/3 checks
- Health 5/5 checks
- Dividend 0/— checks
What does this show?
Five quick health scores — Value, Future, Past, Health and Dividend — each 0–100%. A bigger, more even shape means a stock that scores well across the board; a spiky one is strong on some axes and weak on others.
Learn more on Investopedia →Fair value
our estimate · not analyst forecast78% above our estimate — the price sits over what our numbers support.
How we got there
A 2-stage discounted-cash-flow on free cash flow: grow it at the capped historical trend for five years, fade to a 2.5% long-run rate, discount everything at 9.0%. It's a transparent estimate from past numbers, not a licensed forecast — treat it as one lens, not truth.
What does this show?
Our estimate of what one share is worth based on the cash the business is expected to generate (a discounted-cash-flow model), next to today's price. Below fair value hints undervalued, above hints expensive — it's an estimate, not a guarantee.
Learn more on Investopedia →Health checks
11 checks run on free data- ⚠ Return on equity above 20% ROE 8.1%
- ✓ Debt/equity falling over time long-term debt/equity 3.7% vs 300.8%
- ✓ Debt is under 40% of equity debt/equity 6%
- ✓ Debt well covered by cash flow operating cash flow covers 239.0% of debt
- ✓ Earnings grew over the period -498.0M → 4.3B
- ✓ Earnings trending up latest above earliest
Show all 11 checks by axis
Value 0/— passed
- – Trading below our fair-value estimate
- – P/B below industry industry P/B not on the free feed
- – P/E below industry industry P/E not on the free feed
- – P/E below peer average peer P/Es land after the next refresh
- – P/S sane vs its own history needs multi-year P/S (Tier B)
- – More than 20% below fair value
Future 3/3 passed
- ✓ Earnings trending up latest above earliest
- – Growth beats the industry industry growth not on the free feed
- – Earnings growth beats the market
- ✓ Revenue trending up 26.0%/yr over 9yr
- ✓ Return on equity improving ROE 6.9% vs -104.4% 9yr ago
Past 2/3 passed
- ✓ Earnings grew over the period -498.0M → 4.3B
- – High-quality earnings (few one-offs) one-off detection deferred — needs statement detail
- – Growth accelerating vs its average n/a (loss years)
- ✓ Revenue higher than five years ago 4.3B → 34.6B
- ⚠ Return on equity above 20% ROE 8.1%
Health 5/5 passed
- ✓ Debt/equity falling over time long-term debt/equity 3.7% vs 300.8%
- ✓ Debt is under 40% of equity debt/equity 6%
- ✓ Debt well covered by cash flow operating cash flow covers 239.0% of debt
- ✓ Interest comfortably covered by profit EBIT covers interest 28.2×
- – Short-term assets cover long-term debt n/a
- ✓ Short-term assets cover short-term bills 26.9B vs 9.5B
Dividend 0/— passed
- – Dividend covered by earnings and cash flow pays no dividend
- – Dividend growing over time pays no dividend
- – No dividend cut in recent years pays no dividend
- – Payout ratio under 75% pays no dividend
- – Yield beats the market pays no dividend
- – Yield in the top quartile of payers pays no dividend
What does this show?
Pass/fail rules on the company's finances — debt levels, profitability, cash cover and so on. More greens means a sturdier balance sheet; an n/a just means we didn't have that data point.
Learn more on Investopedia →Past performance
10-yr history from SEC EDGAR filingsRevenue
Earnings
Free cash flow
dashed line = what it'd look like growing at our ~9% market-average benchmark, for comparison
What does this show?
How revenue, earnings and free cash flow have grown over the years. Bars rising left-to-right show a growing business; the dashed line is a market-average pace for comparison.
Learn more on Investopedia →Revenue & expenses
FY 2025What does this show?
How a company turns sales into profit. Revenue splits into the direct cost of sales and the gross profit left over; from that gross profit come operating costs (R&D, SG&A), tax and interest — what survives is net income. Every figure is also shown as a share of revenue, so you can compare periods and companies of different sizes.
Learn more on Investopedia →Future
trend, not analyst forecastRevenue · extended at 15.0%/yr
Dashed bars just extend the historical trend (capped at ±15%/yr) — the same growth our DCF uses. It's arithmetic on the past, not an analyst forecast; real futures bend.
What does this show?
Solid bars are history; dashed bars simply extend the past growth trend a few years forward — capped so it stays sane. It's a trend line, not an analyst forecast.
Learn more on Investopedia →Dividend
from cash actually paid, not promisesAdvanced doesn't pay a dividend — Otto leaves this axis blank rather than guessing.
What does this show?
The share of profit paid back to shareholders as cash. Yield is that cash as a % of the price; the payout gauge shows how much of earnings is paid out (over ~75% can be hard to sustain).
Learn more on Investopedia →Ownership & insiders
from SEC Form 4 filings0 open-market buys · 4 sales in the last 10 saved filings
- Exercise Papermaster Mark D · Chief Technology Officer & EVP 6,000 sh · ₹48.73M 2026-07-15
- Sell Papermaster Mark D · Chief Technology Officer & EVP 6,000 sh · ₹319.54M 2026-07-15
- Exercise Guido Philip · EVP & Chief Commercial Officer 7,495 sh 2026-06-15
- Tax-withhold Guido Philip · EVP & Chief Commercial Officer 2,950 sh · ₹154.52M 2026-06-15
- Exercise Papermaster Mark D · Chief Technology Officer & EVP 6,000 sh · ₹48.73M 2026-06-15
- Sell Papermaster Mark D · Chief Technology Officer & EVP 6,000 sh · ₹307.99M 2026-06-15
- Gift Su Lisa T · Chair, President & CEO 30,000 sh 2026-06-12
- Sell Su Lisa T · Chair, President & CEO 125,000 sh · ₹5.51B 2026-06-10
- Sell Denzel Nora · Director 10,447 sh · ₹521.94M 2026-05-29
- Exercise Norrod Forrest Eugene · EVP & GM DESG 8,237 sh · ₹26.95M 2026-05-20
Insiders must report within two business days. Sales are often pre-planned (10b5-1) rather than a signal — buys tend to say more.
What does this show?
Buys and sells by the company's own directors and officers, from their SEC filings. Insiders sell for many reasons, but clusters of open-market buying can signal confidence.
Learn more on Investopedia →Spot a missing competitor? Sign in to add it — it'll show for everyone.
What does this show?
A few peers in the same business, each with its own mini snowflake, so you can see how this company stacks up rather than judging it in isolation. Anyone signed in can add a missing competitor — it shows for everyone, marked as user-added.
Learn more on Investopedia →Leadership
Yahoo Finance · photos & bios via Wikidata-
Ms. Jean X. Hu Ph.D.
Executive VP, CFO & Treasurer
- Age
- 62
- Total yearly comp
- ₹189.18M
-
Mr. Mark D. Papermaster
CTO and Executive VP of Technology & Engineering
- Age
- 63
- Total yearly comp
- ₹207.26M
-
Mr. Paul Darren Grasby
Executive VP, Chief Sales Officer & President of EMEA
- Age
- 55
- Total yearly comp
- ₹208.73M
-
Ms. Emily Ellis
Corporate VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Principal Accounting Officer
- Age
- 42
-
Mr. Forrest E. Norrod
Executive VP & GM of the Data Center Solutions Business Group
- Age
- 60
- Total yearly comp
- ₹185.59M
Ranked by title — reporting lines aren't public data. Compensation is the total Yahoo reports; blank means it isn't disclosed there.
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My notes
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Hi! I can explain Advanced's numbers — valuation, health, the dividend, the fair-value gap. What would you like to know?
Otto explains what's on this page — not investment advice.