Alphabet Inc.

GOOGL NASDAQ

Alphabet looks roughly fairly valued against its cash flows. Its growth outlook scores strong; the balance sheet is solid.

$344.82 +1.18% today as of 23 Aug, 5:36 AM

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At a glance

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77 overall score Fair value -14% ≈ fair vs estimate Health 18/23 checks pass Price · five years +151.5% Growth 15.0%/yr revenue trend Dividend 0.26% yield P / E 17.3 price / earnings

Otto's verdict

the tiles above, in a line each

Value Trading roughly in line with Otto's cash-flow estimate.
Health 18 of 23 health checks pass.
Growth Revenue trend ≈ +15%/yr (extended trend, not a forecast).
Street Analysts lean strong buy · avg target +24% from here.
Dividend Pays a dividend — yields 0.26%.
Insiders Insiders, last 12 months: 0 buys · 3 sells.

Not investment advice — Otto just crunches numbers.

Price trend

+151.5% over five years · S&P 500 +71.3%

2021-08-16 · $137.09 2026-08-21 · $344.82

What Whose view think

The market's move: +151.5% over the past year

52-wk low $205.28 high $408.61

Trading 69% up its 52-week range. Price is the market's live vote — not advice.

The snowflake

checks passed on each axis

Value 1/3 checks
Future 4/4 checks
Past 4/4 checks
Health 5/6 checks
Dividend 4/6 checks

What does this show?

Five quick health scores — Value, Future, Past, Health and Dividend — each 0–100%. A bigger, more even shape means a stock that scores well across the board; a spiky one is strong on some axes and weak on others.

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Fair value

our estimate · not analyst forecast

14% above our estimate — the price sits over what our numbers support.

$344.82 price today $296.74 fair value

How we got there

A 2-stage discounted-cash-flow on free cash flow: grow it at the capped historical trend for five years, fade to a 2.5% long-run rate, discount everything at 9.0%. It's a transparent estimate from past numbers, not a licensed forecast — treat it as one lens, not truth.

What does this show?

Our estimate of what one share is worth based on the cash the business is expected to generate (a discounted-cash-flow model), next to today's price. Below fair value hints undervalued, above hints expensive — it's an estimate, not a guarantee.

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Health checks

23 checks run on free data

⚠ Trading below our fair-value estimate -14% vs our DCF estimate
⚠ Debt/equity falling over time long-term debt/equity 11.2% vs 2.8%
⚠ More than 20% below fair value -14% margin of safety
⚠ Yield beats the market yield 0.26% vs market ~1.5%
⚠ Yield in the top quartile of payers yield 0.26% vs 2.68% cut among the 67 payers Otto tracks
✓ Debt is under 40% of equity debt/equity 19%

Show all 23 checks by axis

Value 1/3 passed

⚠ Trading below our fair-value estimate -14% vs our DCF estimate
– P/B below industry industry P/B not on the free feed
– P/E below industry industry P/E not on the free feed
✓ P/E below peer average P/E 17.3 vs peers 26.2
– P/S sane vs its own history needs multi-year P/S (Tier B)
⚠ More than 20% below fair value -14% margin of safety

Future 4/4 passed

✓ Earnings trending up 23.7%/yr over 9yr
– Growth beats the industry industry growth not on the free feed
✓ Earnings growth beats the market 23.7%/yr vs market ~9.0%
✓ Revenue trending up 18.1%/yr over 9yr
✓ Return on equity improving ROE 31.8% vs 14.0% 9yr ago

Past 4/4 passed

✓ Earnings grew over the period 19.5B → 132.2B
– High-quality earnings (few one-offs) one-off detection deferred — needs statement detail
✓ Growth accelerating vs its average latest 32.0%/yr vs 23.7% average
✓ Revenue higher than five years ago 90.3B → 402.8B
✓ Return on equity above 20% ROE 48.7%

Health 5/6 passed

⚠ Debt/equity falling over time long-term debt/equity 11.2% vs 2.8%
✓ Debt is under 40% of equity debt/equity 19%
✓ Debt well covered by cash flow operating cash flow covers 339.0% of debt
✓ Interest comfortably covered by profit EBIT covers interest 175.3×
✓ Short-term assets cover long-term debt 206.0B vs 77.3B
✓ Short-term assets cover short-term bills 206.0B vs 102.7B

Dividend 4/6 passed

✓ Dividend covered by earnings and cash flow covered by both earnings and free cash flow
✓ Dividend growing over time over 6yr on record
✓ No dividend cut in recent years steady over 6yr on record
✓ Payout ratio under 75% payout 4.3% of earnings
⚠ Yield beats the market yield 0.26% vs market ~1.5%
⚠ Yield in the top quartile of payers yield 0.26% vs 2.68% cut among the 67 payers Otto tracks

What does this show?

Pass/fail rules on the company's finances — debt levels, profitability, cash cover and so on. More greens means a sturdier balance sheet; an n/a just means we didn't have that data point.

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Past performance

10-yr history from SEC EDGAR filings

Revenue

2016 · 90.3B 2025 · 402.8B

Earnings

2016 · 19.5B 2025 · 132.2B

Free cash flow

2016 · 25.8B 2025 · 73.3B

dashed line = what it'd look like growing at our ~9% market-average benchmark, for comparison

What does this show?

How revenue, earnings and free cash flow have grown over the years. Bars rising left-to-right show a growing business; the dashed line is a market-average pace for comparison.

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Revenue & expenses

FY 2025

What does this show?

How a company turns sales into profit. Revenue splits into the direct cost of sales and the gross profit left over; from that gross profit come operating costs (R&D, SG&A), tax and interest — what survives is net income. Every figure is also shown as a share of revenue, so you can compare periods and companies of different sizes.

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Future

trend, not analyst forecast

Revenue · extended at 15.0%/yr

2016 · 90.3B 2028 · 612.7B projected

Earnings · extended at 15.0%/yr

2016 · 19.5B 2028 · 201.0B projected

Dashed bars just extend the historical trend (capped at ±15%/yr) — the same growth our DCF uses. It's arithmetic on the past, not an analyst forecast; real futures bend.

What does this show?

Solid bars are history; dashed bars simply extend the past growth trend a few years forward — capped so it stays sane. It's a trend line, not an analyst forecast.

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Dividend

from cash actually paid, not promises

0.26% current yield · market ~1.5%

2 yrs without a cut, on record

Growing over the saved record

paying out 7.6% of earnings 75% comfort line

Total dividends paid · split-proof, unlike per-share history

2024 · 7.4B 2025 · 10.0B

What does this show?

The share of profit paid back to shareholders as cash. Yield is that cash as a % of the price; the payout gauge shows how much of earnings is paid out (over ~75% can be hard to sustain).

Learn more on Investopedia →

Ownership & insiders

from SEC Form 4 filings

0 open-market buys · 3 sales in the last 10 saved filings

Other Sergey Brin · Director 673,200 sh 2026-08-07
Gift Sergey Brin · Director 1,346,400 sh 2026-08-07
Gift Hennessy John L. · Director 3,476 sh 2026-08-05
Sell Arnold Frances · Director 82 sh · $27,338 2026-07-30
Sell Saraci Marsida · VP, Chief Accounting Officer 449 sh · $149,607 2026-07-29
Other Gv 2019 Gp, L.L.C. · 10% owner 315,069 sh 2026-07-27
Sell Gv 2019 Gp, L.L.C. · 10% owner 315,069 sh · $6.07M 2026-07-27
Other Saraci Marsida · VP, Chief Accounting Officer 974 sh 2026-07-25
Tax-withhold Saraci Marsida · VP, Chief Accounting Officer 492 sh · $157,020 2026-07-25
Other Walker John Kent · President, Global Affairs, CLO 3,250 sh 2026-07-25

Insiders must report within two business days. Sales are often pre-planned (10b5-1) rather than a signal — buys tend to say more.

What does this show?

Buys and sells by the company's own directors and officers, from their SEC filings. Insiders sell for many reasons, but clusters of open-market buying can signal confidence.

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Competitors

Compare Internet Content & Information · tap to jump

MSFT Microsoft Corporation $483.24 +0.4%

META Meta Platforms, Inc. $583.05 -1.1%

AAPL Apple Inc. $309.35 -0.9%

AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. $269.08 -1.2% scores after next refresh

What does this show?

A few peers in the same business, each with its own mini snowflake, so you can see how this company stacks up rather than judging it in isolation. Anyone signed in can add a missing competitor — it shows for everyone, marked as user-added.

Learn more on Investopedia →